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Towards a Coherent
Trade and Development Strategy of India
24-25 July
2008,
New Delhi |
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Global Partnership
for Development
Where do we stand
and where to go?
12-13 August
2008,
New Delhi |
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Strengthening Skills
on Commercial & Economic Diplomacy
Training Programme
for
Civil Servants and Executives
(CDS.06)
18-21 August 2008,
Jaipur, India |
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Stakeholders Consultation
Regional
Economic Cooperation in South Asia with
a Focus on India-Sri Lanka Trade
21 August 2008,
Kochi, Kerala |
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Stakeholders
Consultation
Regional
Economic Cooperation in South Asia with a
Focus on India-Bangladesh Trade
19 September 2008, Kolkata, West Bengal |
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CUTS-Commonwealth Secretariat Session at
the WTO Public Forum 2008
The Missing Link between
Trade Openness & Poverty Reduction
24 September 2008, Geneva |
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CUTS-FES-Evian Group Session at the WTO
Public Forum 2008
What Future for Global
Economic Governance?
25 September 2008, Geneva |
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EVENT
REPORTS |
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State Level Advocacy Workshop
Mainstreaming
International Trade and National Development
Strategy in India
5 July, 2008
Kolkata, India |
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National
Seminar
National Foreign Trade Policy of India:
Why is civil society’s involvement required?
1-2 July
2008
New Delhi, India |
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International
Trade and its Reach at the Grassroots-an
analysis of Research findings from Rajasthan
June 17, 2008
Jaipur, India |
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RESEARCH REPORTS |
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Trade
Liberalisation, Growth and Poverty in Bangladesh |
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Is the Stage set for
Mainstreaming Trade into National Development
Strategy of India?
Results of Field Survey
in Two States |
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Political Economy
of Trade Liberalisation in Bangladesh
Impact
of Trade Liberalisation on Bangladesh Agriculture |
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WORKING PAPERS |
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Domestic
Preparedness for
Services Trade Liberalisation
Are South
Asian countries prepared for further liberalisation? |
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Trade,
Poverty Reduction and the Integrated Framework
Are
we asking the right people the right questions? |
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World
Food Price Increase
Where
Does the Buck Stop? |
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BRIEFING PAPERS |
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Do
India’s AEZs Need a Fresh Start? |
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SAARC and BIMSTEC
Understanding their Experience in Regional
Cooperation |
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‘Energising’ India’s Development
through Economic Diplomacy |
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VIEWPOINT PAPERS |
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The Doha Round of
Negotiations on Rules
The State
of Play |
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Doha
Round of Negotiations on Agricultue
The
Current State of Play |
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Doha
Round of Negotiations on Non Agricultural
Market Access
The
Current State of Play |
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MISCELLANEOUS |
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Are developed countries serious about a deal
at the WTO? |
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US too plays «TRUMP»
card? |
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CUTS Memorandum
to the Trade Ministers of G-20 Group of
WTO Member Countries
Why G-20 unity
is necessary at this crucial juncture of
the Doha Round of negotiations? |
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CUTS CITEE Weekly
Bulletin
July 13-19, 2008
Previous Issues>> |
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CUTS Memorandum
to the Commerce & Industry Minister
of India on
India’s
Strategy in the Doha Round at the current
juncture |
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Visits and...
June 2008
Previous Records... |
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Dossier on Preferential
Trade Agreements
June 2008
Previous
Issues... |
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IN MEDIA – MARCH 2007
In
Media Archive...
Too important to
leave aside
Financial Express, India, March 31, 2007
|
The country needs to regain the momentum
of political will on SEZs |
By
Pradeep S Mehta
Special
economic zones (SEZs) have raised a huge
controversy in the country. Alas, one would
miss the wood for the trees, if one doesn’t
look at the political economy and the
challenges it will continue to raise in our
distorted discourse. According to critics,
SEZs would create a pro-business industrial
environment in the country which may not be
very good for fostering economic democracy.
While SEZs are indeed pro-business, such a
(pro-business economic) policy is not new in
India. The country has vigorously pursued a
pro-business policy, and this has already seen
a significant reduction in poverty. In an
article in this newspaper on December 14, 2006
(‘Broad benefits of special economic zones’),
I argued that the real question is not whether
we can afford to have SEZs, but whether we can
afford not to.
Before
getting into any analyses of the political
economy, let me examine two important
questions and that will help understand the
present situation. First, will large-scale
formation of SEZs in India lead to special
enclave-led growth? Second, is such
enclave-led growth good or bad for our economy
and people?
There are
no easy answers to these questions, which will
depend on local factors, among many other
things. At best, one can do some case studies
to draw some lessons, but generalisations are
not possible. An answer to the first question
can be found by looking at the performance and
impact of existing export processing zones
(which are similar to SEZs) in India. The
first export processing zone in India was
developed in Kandla, Gujarat, in the
mid-1960s, and along with many others, the
multiplier effects have been great.
To find an
answer to both questions, let’s look at the
Unctad’s 2004 LDC Report with the theme of
‘Linking International Trade with Poverty
Reduction’ and draw lessons from various case
studies cited there. The report has suggested
five post-liberal development strategies for
poor countries. The first of them is called
“balanced growth based on agricultural
productivity growth and export-accelerated
industrialisation”. Unctad advocates that for
sustained growth and substantial poverty
reduction to occur under this strategy, six
domestic conditions have to be put in place.
Without going into the details of these
conditions, one can see that there is a
remarkable similarity with them in
contemporary India, which is still
predominantly agrarian. It has a small
industrial sector. India has surplus labour in
rural areas owing to large labour supply in
relation to the available land.
|
|
Besides technological advancement,
Indian agriculture badly needs some
drastic institutional and organisational
changes, which are not happening because
the agriculture lobby is politically
very strong and has a vested interest in
its lack of progress
|
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|
Looking at
these conditions, it appears that the central
and various state governments have taken the
right decision to encourage the setting up of
SEZs and this policy is consistent with the
National Foreign Trade Policy of India,
2004-09. Let me highlight three most important
conditions in the Indian context. The first
condition is that agricultural productivity
must rise at a rate sufficient for the
production and marketing of food to be able to
feed the entire population. This requires
continuous technological progress in
agriculture, and institutional and
organisational changes, including land
reforms.
Second, the
growth rate of industrial labour force must be
faster than the growth rate of the total
labour force. Over the last couple of decades,
industrial employment in India remained
stagnant and in order to change this
situation, we need both large-scale capital
accumulation and a labour bias in innovation.
The policy of developing a large number of
SEZs meets both these conditions.
Third, a
right balance must be struck in inter-sectoral
labour markets. The number of new employment
opportunities created in industry must be in
step with the number of persons released from
agriculture.
If the
above is true, then why there is this huge
controversy over this new wave of SEZs in
India? The first reason for this controversy
is that a large number of actors look at this
situation as a milch cow to seek rents.
Second, besides technological advancement,
Indian agriculture badly needs some drastic
institutional and organisational changes,
which are not happening because the
agriculture lobby is politically very strong
and has a vested interest in its lack of
progress. Indian agriculture is currently
faced with many vices, which include absentee
landlordism and subsistence farming coupled
with land fragmentation. Third, small
landholders (including landless farmers and
agricultural workers) do not see any
alternative employment available to them—for
want of skills and also due to the overall
industrial environment in the country in terms
of employment generation.
Given this
political economy, what is the way out of the
present impasse? The Union and state
governments should take a series of specific
policy measures to increase agricultural
productivity and manufacturing employment
simultaneously. But results from such measures
will take a longer time to take effect, I
estimate. The fact is that huge political will
is required for India to become a developed
country (not poor, if at the same time not
exactly rich) by 2020. Given the nature of our
democratic set-up, this will be a risk, but
there will be huge returns too—in economic
terms as well as politically.
The author
is Secretary General, CUTS International, a
leading research, advocacy and networking
group and can be reached at
psm@cuts.org
This article can also be
viewed at:
http://www.financialexpress.com/
TOP |
Bengal violence may
delay SEZs, investors get restless
Indian Express, March 15, 2007
By Shishir Gupta / Vikas Dhoot
The political fallout of the violence at
Nandigram today may stop further notifications
of Special Economic Zones well beyond the UP
elections.
Though several state chief ministers including
DMK’s Karunanidhi and Congress’s Y S
Rajasekhara Reddy have written to Prime
Minister Manmohan Singh and the chairman of
the empowered Group of Ministers on SEZs,
Pranab Mukherjee, to lift the freeze on SEZ
approvals as investors are getting edgy, a
senior government official told The Indian
Express today that the ministers’ group may
not even meet till the UP elections are over.
So lifting the freeze on SEZs seems out of the
question till then, he said.
The West Bengal violence comes at a time when
the Commerce Ministry had allayed the concerns
of the Congress party by briefing at least two
former chief ministers as a precursor to the
expected meeting of the Empowered Group of
Ministers (EGoM) this month to lift the
January 23 suspension on SEZ notifications. As
of now, only 63 out of a total 235 approved
SEZ that are not facing any land acquisition
issues have been notified by the UPA
government.
Government sources said that even as the UPA
government tarries on the notifications,
footwear multinational Nike, which has a
cleared SEZ plan in Tamil Nadu, has indicated
that it would walk out of India as it has
commercial commitments to meet next year. Nike
has plans to invest $300 million into the SEZ
in and has even ordered machinery for the
project.
More big-ticket investors are in the process
of pulling the plug on their SEZ plans. Apart
from Nike, US-based Velankani Communications
Tech, which intended to set up a $600 million
IT SEZ in Tamil Nadu, is one of them. Nike and
Velankani alone were expected to employ over
40,000 workers in the state.
Now, DMK supremo M Karunanidhi is likely to
visit New Delhi soon to meet Congress
president Sonia Gandhi, in a last-ditch
attempt to prevent investors’ flight from the
state. His strongly-worded letter to the PM a
few weeks back had failed to break the
impasse.
In
Andhra Pradesh, Brandix Apparels, which has
been awaiting the notification of its textile
SEZ to start operations, is now considering
retrenching the 600-odd women workers it
trained and employed. “They are not here for
charity. If their commercial operations are
not starting, they can’t keep employees on
their rolls indefinitely,” the government
official said.
Commerce Ministry officials too seem to have
given up hope of a resolution of the current
stalemate at least till the UP elections
conclude. Till then, they are bracing for a
sharp dip in investor enthusiasm for SEZs. “We
expect a 25 per cent drop from the existing
investment plans for SEZs,” an official said.
The fact is that killing of 11 people in the
police firing in Nandigram could not have come
at a worse time. Last week, the Commerce
Ministry briefed former Madhya Pradesh Chief
Minister Digvijay Singh and former Karnataka
Chief Minister Veerappa Moily on the entire
SEZ policy of the UPA government in a bid to
address all the concerns of the High Command.
The two former CMs were given detailed
clarifications on the following issues:
-
SEZ impact on domestic industry (Ministry
said that this is one of the many earlier
schemes like EOU)
-
Tax losses to the Indian economy (Ministry
said two studies ICRIER by Finance Ministry
and CUTS International by Commerce Ministry
had been commissioned to study this)
-
Ceiling of the maximum size of multi-product
SEZs (already under consideration of the
EGoM)
-
Land acquisition problems
Sources said the original plan was that the
two former CMs would then report back to the
High Command and Pranab Mukherjee. This would
then be followed by summoning of EGOM on March
21 before the present Budget session goes into
recess.
However, the police action at Nandigram has
taken the wind out of this exercise and will
force the Congress leadership to keep the SEZ
notifications into cold storage till the UP
elections are over.
It
is another matter that the SEZs were expected
to provide 15 lakh additional jobs and get an
investment of over Rs 58,000 crore before the
2009 general elections.
This article can also be viewed at:
http://www.indianexpress.com/
TOP |
India to notify
LDC’s tariff sops package before June
Financial Express, March 14, 2007
India on Tuesday said it would work out a
comprehensive trade package to least developed
countries (LDC) in the next two months. This
is a part of India's unilateral trade
preference (UTP) scheme to poor nations.
Commerce and industry minister Kamal Nath said
that his ministry would forward the package to
the Cabinet in two months after incorporating
suggestions given by all the LDCs. The Centre
would, subsequently notify this scheme.
Earlier in the day, the Trade and Economic
Relations Committee (TERC) led by the Prime
Minister Manmohan Singh discussed the UTP
scheme for LDCs.
Dipak Patel, former Minister of Trade and
Industry of Zambia, said at a seminar on Doha
Round that India needs to move fast on the
package for duty-free quota-free (DQFQ) access
to the least developed countries (LDCs) as it
is an important element of the Doha mandate
and the Hong Kong declaration.
DQFQ concessions were sought from ‘‘advanced
developing countries’’ at the Hong Kong
Ministerial Conference in December 2005 when
these issues were debated.
The rich countries agreed to extend this
concession on 97 % of tariff lines, though
that left a gap where products sensitive to
rich economies such as textiles could be
exempted.
This had come in for considerable criticism,
and one of the spin-offs was that big
developing countries like India, China and
Brazil too should extend such preferential
offers.
Brazil has already notified its DFQF scheme,
while India and China have announced the
intention but are yet to notify it.
Pradeep Mehta, secretary general of CUTS
International, said, ‘‘The intent needs to be
translated into action, and delays will only
skew the southern solidarity in the WTO
process’’.
As
per the UN, the socio-economic development
indicators and the human development index of
the LDCs are the lowest in the world. Thirty
four of these 50 countries are located in
Sub-Saharan Africa, while 10 are in Asia.
Worst conditions of poverty, wide-spread
corruption, lack of a proper legal frame work
and authoritarian form of government are the
characteristics of these countries.
This news item can also be viewed at:
http://www.financialexpress.com/
TOP |
Government, NGOs
and the WTO — Some myths and realities
Business Line, March 12, 2007
|
In the context of a major international
conference in Delhi organised by the
Government in association with NGOs to
deliberate upon the impasse over the
Doha Round, a look at the Government-NGO
engagement on WTO matters. |
By Pradeep S Mehta
The multilateral trading system under the
aegis of the World Trade Organisation (WTO)
has come a long-way since this organisation
was set up in 1995 following the conclusion of
the Uruguay Round of talks under the General
Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT). One of
the striking features of the WTO in its first
decade of existence is its remarkable ability
to attract the attention of non-governmental
organisations.
According to WTO's definition, any entity
other than a government is an NGO. This means
the WTO considers organisations representing
business and public interest on a par. Itis
another matter that the business interest
often receives more attention as far as
international trade is concerned.
From barely a few NGOs (that too mostly from
the rich world) participating in the WTO's
first Ministerial in Singapore in 1996,
hundreds attended the sixth in Hong Kong in
2005. The NGOs represent a range of interests:
Business (including small business), consumer,
environment and social issues.
There are several reasons for this growing
interest among the NGOs on matters WTO. Till
the Uruguay Round, international trade issues
under the GATT system were mostly confined to
those that were mainly of interest to rich
countries.
For the first time, in the Uruguay Round,
issues such as agriculture, textiles and
clothing, services, investment, and
intellectual property rights were brought
under the ambit of the multilateral trading
system.
These issues concern the lives of the common
people, and thus NGOs started taking interest
in the multilateral trading system. Even then
it was a few NGOs of the rich countries, that
were active.
The interest of developing country NGOs in WTO
issues has started growing following the
Singapore Ministerial. In 1996, the
International Centre for Trade and Sustainable
Development (ICTSD) was established in Geneva.
A
joint initiative of Northern and Southern
NGOs, its main mandate was to inform the
larger civil society on what was happening in
Geneva vis-a-vis the WTO and for more than a
decade ICTSD has been doing this.
For a large number of NGOs from poor
countries, and for governments, ICTSD's weekly
and monthly bulletins are the major sources of
information on WTO matters and thus, getting
gradually empowered.
Though NGO interests in WTO matters have grown
over the years, there are yet certain myths
with regard to their positions, etc. This is
not to say that NGO positions are homogenous
on all or majority of issues (in fact, they
are more often different), but it is usually
perceived that all NGOs are opposed to the WTO.
This is a myth.
A
large number of NGOsare of centrist philosophy
and do understand the virtues of a rule-based
system, which is what the WTO is.
It
is another matter that on many occasions
several countries have violated WTO rules and
in some cases, these were rectified through
the WTO's dispute settlement mechanism. Many
NGOs have taken active part in many of these
disputes by voicing their concerns and in some
cases by submitting amicus briefs.
It
is another myth that the Seattle Ministerial
collapsed due to NGOs marching in the streets.
The reality was that Seattle was abandoned for
two reasons: Irreconcilable differences
between the EU and the US on further opening
up agricultural trade (this continues to
dominate the debate even today) and
Washington's insistence on bringing in such
contentious issues as labour standards into
the WTO, which was resisted by the poor
countries.
A
second myth is that countries like India look
at NGOs (even the domestic ones) with
suspicion, as international agencies and
governments of rich countries support them.
True, developing country NGOs are mostly
supported by donors from the Western world,
but these organisations rarely follow the
positions of the rich countries on WTO
matters.
In
many cases, their positions differ
substantially with those of the rich countries
(even with NGOs of the rich world) but it is
true that NGOs often provide a platform where
the rich and the poor countries reconcile
their positions on specific issues; for
instance, the TRIPs and public health accords.
And since the Singapore Ministerial, New Delhi
has started engaging NGOs in WTO matters.
Immediately after Singapore, an advisory
committee was formed by the Commerce Ministry
to help trade negotiators on WTO matters,
which included two NGO representatives. At
Cancun, the Commerce Minister addressed a
gathering of NGOs and a similar event was
organised in Hong Kong also.
Following Cancun and in the run-up to the Hong
Kong ministerial, the Commerce Ministry
regularly organised consultations with NGOs,
and many of India's positions (particularly on
agriculture) were based on such consultations.
This practice is being followed religiously.
Clearly, countries like India have understood
the importance of an "inclusive process" while
taking positions on WTO matters and this is
one way of mainstreaming international trade
into our development strategy.
The author is Secretary General, CUTS
International, a leading research, advocacy
and networking group and can be reached at
psm@cuts.org
This article can also be viewed at:
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/
TOP |
WTO and the myths
about NGOs
Economic Times, March 12, 2007
By Pradeep S Mehta
One of the striking features of the WTO in its
first decade of existence is its remarkable
ability to attract attention from NGOs.
According to WTO’s definition, any entity
other than a government is a non-governmental
organisation. This means that WTO considers
organisations representing business interest
and those representing public interest at par.
It’s true business interest often receives
more attention as far as international trade
is concerned.
From barely a few NGOs (that too mostly from
the rich world) participating in WTO’s first
ministerial conference in Singapore in 1996,
hundreds of NGOs have participated in the
sixth one held in Hong Kong in 2005. They
represent a variety of interests: business
(including small business), consumers,
environment and social issues.
There are several reasons for this growing
interest among the NGO community in WTO
matters. Till the Uruguay Round negotiations,
which lasted from the late 1980s to early
1990s, international trade issues under the
GATT system were mostly confined to those that
were mainly of interest to rich countries. For
the first time, in the Uruguay Round, issues
such as agriculture, textiles & clothing,
services, investment and IPRs were brought
under the ambit of the multilateral trading
system.
These issues concern the lives of the common
people and thus NGOs have started taking
interest in the multilateral trading system.
Even then it was a few NGOs in rich countries,
which were active in the field. I remember
taking part in the Hong Kong Congress of the
then International Organisation of Consumer
Unions (now Consumers International) in 1991
where the famous Dunkel draft on the Uruguay
Round was discussed heatedly. Unfortunately,
many of us from the South were unable to
understand what was going on.
Interest of NGOs from developing countries in
WTO issues have grown following the Singapore
ministerial conference. In 1996, the
International Centre for Trade and Sustainable
Development (ICTSD) was established in Geneva.
It
was a joint initiative of Northern and
Southern NGOs, of which CUTS was one of them.
Its main mandate was to inform the larger
civil society on what was happening in Geneva
with regard to the WTO. CUTS also played its
bit in its endeavour to develop the capacity
of Southern NGOs (particularly from South Asia
and eastern and southern Africa) through
training and other means.
Even though NGOs’ interest in WTO matters has
grown over the years, there are yet certain
myths with regard to their positions, etc.
Often it is perceived that all NGOs are
opposed to the WTO. This is a myth. There are
a large number of NGOs, which are centrist in
their philosophy and do understand the virtues
of a rules-based system that the WTO is.
It’s another matter that on many occasions
several countries have violated WTO rules and
in some cases, they were rectified through the
WTO’s dispute settlement mechanism. Many NGOs
have taken active part in many of these
disputes by voicing their concerns and in some
cases by submitting amicus briefs.
It
is again a myth that the Seattle ministerial
conference of the WTO collapsed due to NGOs
marching in the streets. The reality was that
Seattle was abandoned due to two reasons:
irreconcilable differences between EU and US
on further opening up of agricultural trade
(which continue to dominate the debate even
today) and the US insistence on bringing in
contentious issues such as labour standards
into the WTO, which was resisted by the poor
countries.
Another myth is that countries like India look
at NGOs suspiciously, as mostly international
agencies and governments of rich countries
support them. There is little truth in this
allegation. It is true that developing country
NGOs are mostly supported by donors from the
western world, but there is no way that they
tow the positions of the rich countries on WTO
matters. In many cases, their positions differ
substantially with those of rich countries
(even with NGOs of the rich world) but it is
also true that NGOs often provide a vehicle
through which the rich and the poor countries
reconcile their positions on specific issues,
of which the TRIPs and public health accord is
one.
Since the Singapore ministerial conference,
the Indian government has started engaging
NGOs in its activities on WTO matters.
Immediately after Singapore, an advisory
committee was formed by the ministry to help
our trade negotiators, which included two NGO
representatives. Both at Cancun and Hong Kong,
the Indian commerce minister addressed a
gathering of NGOs.
Following Cancun and in the run-up to the Hong
Kong ministerial, the department of commerce
regularly organised consultations with NGOs
and many of India’s positions (particularly on
agriculture) were based on such consultations
and this practice is being followed
religiously. The truth is that countries like
India have understood the importance of an
“inclusive process” while taking positions at
the WTO.
The author is Secretary General, CUTS
International, a leading research, advocacy
and networking group and can be reached at
psm@cuts.org
This article can also be viewed at:
| | |